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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 2 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Andy Pages 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 8 Ian Happ 4 HRs · 9 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 10 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 11 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 12 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs 1 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 2 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Andy Pages 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 8 Ian Happ 4 HRs · 9 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 10 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 11 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 12 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs
Jj Bleday

Jj Bleday

Today's Matchup CIN @ STL · 2:15p
Michael McGreevy (RHP)
HR/FB 17.9% vs LHH ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR/9 1.15 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. Higher = pitcher gives up more longballs. FIP 4.15 ?Fielding Independent Pitching — isolates pitcher skill from defense. Higher FIP = more HR-vulnerable.
#48 🟠 C
Busch Stadium Park × 0.905 ?Park factor for this stadium. Values above 1.0 boost HR probability; below 1.0 suppress it. Based on multi-year park HR data.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.315
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
98th pctile
90.3
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
67th pctile
11.2%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
82th pctile
38.1% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
98th pctile
386
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
26th pctile
0.0%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
0.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
30.5%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
98th pctile
33
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
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